PolyBigFish

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
1.9%
▲ 0.1% 24h
No
98.1%
▼ 0.1% 24h

24h volume$251.84K

Probability

  • Yes1.9%
  • No98.1%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%No · Sell $21.55K · 97.9¢No · Buy $11.99K · 98.2¢No · Sell $117.4K · 98.0¢10/30/202611/6/2026
$11.99K
BuyNo
98¢
refzer
Just now12.2K
Unusual
$117.4K
SellNo
98¢
ThisAgain
Just now119.7K
Unusual
$50.96K
SellNo
98¢
shibagege
Just now52K
Unusual
$15.78K
SellNo
98¢
Medoed69
Just now16.1K
Unusual
$19.67K
SellNo
98¢
afdafdafdafdafd
Just now20.1K
Unusual
$50.57K
SellNo
98¢
Serene-Decision
Just now51.7K
Unusual
$13.93K
BuyNo
96¢
Serene-Decision
Just now14.5K
Unusual
$16.52K
BuyNo
97¢
afdafdafdafdafd
Just now17.1K
Unusual
$35.03K
BuyNo
96¢
afdafdafdafdafd
Just now36.6K
Unusual
$17.1K
SellNo
97¢
manekineko
Just now17.7K
Unusual
$16.7K
SellYes
2.9¢
ZnotluvuiSamez
Just now568.2K
Unusual
$26.07K
BuyNo
97¢
refzer
Just now26.9K
Unusual
$13.91K
BuyNo
97¢
afdafdafdafdafd
Just now14.4K
Unusual
$30.41K
SellNo
97¢
hose
Just now31.3K
Unusual
$16.76K
SellNo
97¢
AlAhmeda
Just now17.2K
Unusual
$12.66K
SellNo
98¢
MonacoLover
Just now12.9K
Unusual
$12.66K
SellNo
98¢
MonacoLover
Just now12.9K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$60.22K$40.99K
No$2.35M$1.43M

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.