PolyBigFish

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
0.4%
▼ 0.1% 24h
No
99.6%
▲ 0.1% 24h

24h volume$17.05K

Probability

  • Yes0.4%
  • No99.6%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%10/30/202611/6/2026
$13.17K
SellYes
15¢
Hauchn
Just now87.8K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$13.17K
No$0$0

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.