PolyBigFish

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
10.7%
▲ 5.4% 24h
No
89.3%
▼ 5.4% 24h

24h volume$182.12K

Probability

  • Yes10.7%
  • No89.3%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%10/30/202611/6/2026
$22.07K
SellNo
98¢
scottilicious
Just now22.6K
Unusual
$16.73K
SellNo
97¢
scottilicious
Just now17.2K
Unusual
$14.76K
BuyNo
98¢
Bigggggggg
Just now15K
Unusual
$13.26K
BuyNo
99¢
afdafdafdafdafd
Just now13.5K
Unusual
$10.55K
BuyNo
97¢
thoodr
Just now10.9K
Unusual
$13.46K
BuyNo
98¢
Bigggggggg
Just now13.7K
Unusual
$39.89K
BuyNo
96¢
scottilicious
Just now41.7K
Unusual
$17.67K
BuyNo
96¢
aff3
Just now18.4K
Unusual
$11.32K
SellNo
98¢
ALONE36
Just now11.6K
Unusual
$11.33K
BuyNo
98¢
ALONE36
Just now11.6K
Unusual
$11.28K
SellNo
98¢
ALONE36
Just now11.5K
Unusual
$11.28K
BuyNo
98¢
ALONE36
Just now11.5K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$0$0
No$132.2K$61.4K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.