PolyBigFish

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
20.3%
▼ 10.3% 24h
No
79.7%
▲ 10.3% 24h

24h volume$519.73K

Probability

  • Yes20.3%
  • No79.7%
Dots mark big trades
15.1%32.55%50%67.45%84.9%Yes · Sell $11.61K · 28.1¢Yes · Sell $31.13K · 28.2¢Yes · Sell $23.75K · 33.4¢Yes · Sell $21.6K · 30.9¢Yes · Sell $15.55K · 34.6¢Yes · Sell $12.14K · 34.0¢Yes · Sell $17.5K · 35.0¢Yes · Sell $31.76K · 43.4¢Yes · Buy $45K · 45.0¢No · Buy $16.25K · 72.2¢No · Buy $27.75K · 70.0¢No · Sell $12.45K · 70.9¢No · Sell $32.02K · 72.1¢No · Buy $12.87K · 71.5¢No · Buy $11.22K · 74.8¢No · Sell $52.47K · 66.0¢No · Buy $32.64K · 70.4¢No · Buy $13.38K · 68.0¢No · Sell $22.97K · 65.0¢No · Sell $145.5K · 65.0¢No · Sell $10.23K · 66.0¢No · Buy $10.02K · 61.0¢No · Sell $15.3K · 61.2¢No · Buy $15.72K · 61.0¢No · Buy $10.86K · 60.0¢10/30/202611/6/2026
$16.25K
BuyNo
72¢
foodenjoyer
Just now22.5K
$27.75K
BuyNo
70¢
cashy
Just now39.6K
Unusual
$12.45K
SellNo
71¢
Disloyal-Brunch
Just now17.6K
$32.02K
SellNo
72¢
qizhan1
Just now44.4K
Unusual
$31.13K
SellYes
28¢
Michael1615
Just now110.4K
Unusual
$23.75K
SellYes
33¢
Bland-Brook
Just now71.2K
$52.47K
SellNo
66¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN
Just now79.5K
Unusual
$32.64K
BuyNo
70¢
hedgie1
Just now46.3K
Unusual
$13.38K
BuyNo
68¢
foodenjoyer
Just now19.7K
$12.14K
SellYes
34¢
DeRitardo
Just now35.7K
$145.5K
SellNo
65¢
dromedaryy
Just now223.9K
Unusual
$10.23K
SellNo
66¢
defillama7
Just now15.5K
$17.5K
SellYes
35¢
0xPolymarketAnon
Just now50K

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$354.79K$710.72K
No$394.39K$1.04M

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.