PolyBigFish

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
67.3%
▲ 11.8% 24h
No
32.7%
▼ 11.8% 24h

24h volume$302.93K

Probability

  • Yes67.3%
  • No32.7%
Dots mark big trades
26.4%38.2%50%61.8%73.6%Yes · Buy $12.49K · 66.5¢Yes · Sell $13.03K · 57.6¢Yes · Buy $10.08K · 56.0¢Yes · Sell $21.16K · 56.3¢Yes · Sell $11.54K · 58.0¢Yes · Buy $40.6K · 59.9¢Yes · Sell $13.01K · 60.0¢Yes · Sell $12.12K · 41.9¢No · Sell $12.99K · 43.3¢No · Buy $18K · 40.0¢No · Buy $20K · 40.0¢No · Buy $11.56K · 57.0¢10/30/202611/6/2026
$12.49K
BuyYes
66¢
Soggy-Highrise
Just now18.8K
$13.03K
SellYes
58¢
Avimeytal12
Just now22.6K
$21.16K
SellYes
56¢
evaak
Just now37.6K
Unusual
$11.54K
SellYes
58¢
democraticbroom
Just now19.9K
$40.6K
BuyYes
60¢
democraticbroom
Just now67.7K
Unusual
$13.01K
SellYes
60¢
realbengvir
Just now21.7K
$12.12K
SellYes
42¢
DeRitardo
Just now28.9K
$11.57K
SellNo
66¢
UnderperformingForALiving
Just now17.5K
$69.13K
SellNo
73¢
denizz
Just now94.9K
Unusual
$129.02K
BuyNo
70¢
denizz
Just now183.2K
Unusual
$30K
BuyNo
84¢
fuxfux007
Just now35.9K
Unusual
$20K
BuyNo
77¢
fuxfux007
Just now26.1K
Unusual
$12.56K
SellNo
65¢
themagicofcinema
Just now19.3K

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$155.61K$70.86K
No$272.11K$123.37K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.