PolyBigFish

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
27.8%
▲ 1.0% 24h
No
72.2%
▼ 1.0% 24h

24h volume$86.94K

Probability

  • Yes27.8%
  • No72.2%
Dots mark big trades
2.7%26.35%50%73.65%97.3%Yes · Buy $12K · 27.8¢Yes · Buy $53.67K · 25.0¢Yes · Sell $13.94K · 14.0¢No · Buy $15.94K · 73.9¢10/30/202611/6/2026
$15.94K
BuyNo
74¢
WordleAddict
Just now21.6K
Unusual
$53.67K
BuyYes
25¢
BreakTheBank
Just now214.7K
Unusual
$13.94K
SellYes
14¢
HerbertAppreciator
Just now99.7K
Unusual
$14.06K
SellNo
94¢
Chungvicular
Just now15K
Unusual
$24.36K
SellNo
94¢
mingerr
Just now26K
Unusual
$56.39K
SellNo
94¢
Outrageous-Table
Just now60.2K
Unusual

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$65.67K$13.94K
No$15.94K$94.8K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.