Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Live probability · Updated
- Yes
- 97.9% ▲ 3.1% 24h
- No
- 2.1% ▼ 3.1% 24h
24h volume$383.57K
Probability
- Yes97.9%
- No2.1%
Dots mark big trades
- 24h volume
- $383.57K
- Total volume
- $4.34M
- End date
- 11/4/2026
Yes 97.9¢
No 2.1¢
Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K
Buy / sell by outcome
| Markets | Buy | Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | $322.58K | $101.16K |
| No | $0 | $0 |
Participating traders
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.