PolyBigFish

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Live probability · Updated

Yes
3.1%
▼ 10.8% 24h
No
96.9%
▲ 10.7% 24h

24h volume$446.75K

Probability

  • Yes3.1%
  • No96.9%
Dots mark big trades
0%25%50%75%100%Yes · Buy $19.66K · 96.2¢Yes · Buy $41.34K · 88.0¢Yes · Buy $28.6K · 87.0¢Yes · Buy $13.76K · 86.0¢No · Sell $12.71K · 11.0¢10/29/202611/5/2026
$55.17K
BuyNo
98¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Just now56K
Unusual
$24.44K
BuyNo
98¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Just now24.9K
Unusual
$19.66K
BuyYes
96¢
LulaVaiPerder
Just now20.4K
Unusual
$41.34K
BuyYes
88¢
SSCCAAMM
Just now47K
Unusual
$28.6K
BuyYes
87¢
Melody626
Just now32.9K
Unusual
$12.71K
SellNo
11¢
supersmard
Just now115.5K
$15.24K
BuyYes
93¢
AngryRhino
Just now16.4K

Latest 100 trades ≥ $10K

Buy / sell by outcome

MarketsBuySell
Yes$118.6K$0
No$79.61K$12.71K

Participating traders

Review this market
Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.