PolyBigFish

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
49.5%
▲ 4.5% 24h
No
50.5%
▼ 4.5% 24h

24 小时成交额$360.76K

概率走势

  • Yes49.5%
  • No50.5%
圆点为大单
22%36%50%64%78%2026/10/292026/11/5
$13.29K
卖出No
77¢
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2
刚刚17.2K
$12.85K
买入No
75¢
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2
刚刚17.2K

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$0$0
No$12.85K$13.29K

参与交易员

复盘本场
结算规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.