PolyBigFish

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
29.2%
▲ 0.7% 24h
No
70.8%
▼ 0.7% 24h

24 小时成交额$171.94K

概率走势

  • Yes29.2%
  • No70.8%
圆点为大单
13.6%31.8%50%68.2%86.4%Yes · 买入 $23.21K · 29.9¢Yes · 卖出 $11.34K · 31.1¢2026/10/302026/11/6
$23.21K
买入Yes
30¢
kcyeu
刚刚77.7K
异常
$11.34K
卖出Yes
31¢
lalafel007
刚刚36.5K
异常
$15.29K
卖出No
65¢
HukaBars
刚刚23.5K
异常
$11K
买入Yes
33¢
UA2
刚刚33.2K
异常
$14.78K
买入No
63¢
HukaBars
刚刚23.5K
异常
$10.79K
买入Yes
43¢
anoin123
刚刚25.2K
异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$45K$11.34K
No$14.78K$15.29K

参与交易员

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结算规则

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).