PolyBigFish

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

实时概率 · 更新

Yes
1.1%
▲ 0.7% 24h
No
98.9%
▼ 0.7% 24h

24 小时成交额$371.97K

概率走势

  • Yes1.1%
  • No98.9%
圆点为大单
0%25%50%75%100%No · 买入 $19.92K · 99.6¢No · 买入 $17.5K · 99.5¢2026/10/302026/11/6
$19.92K
买入No
100¢
ATCapital
刚刚20K
异常
$17.5K
买入No
100¢
Bigggggggg
刚刚17.6K
异常
$11.79K
买入No
99¢
Bigggggggg
刚刚11.9K
异常

最近 100 笔 ≥ $10K 成交

各结果买卖额

市场买入卖出
Yes$0$0
No$49.21K$0

参与交易员

复盘本场
结算规则

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.