PolyScott

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes
10.5%
▼ 7.0% 24h去 Polymarket 买 Yes ↗
No
89.5%
▲ 7.0% 24h去 Polymarket 买 No ↗

概率 · 圆点为大单

  • Yes10.5%
  • No89.5%
0%25%50%75%100%Yes · 卖出 $16.45K · 16.0¢Yes · 卖出 $22.1K · 17.0¢No · 买入 $16.94K · 90.0¢No · 买入 $10.33K · 89.0¢No · 买入 $17.8K · 89.0¢No · 买入 $12.01K · 88.0¢No · 买入 $26.58K · 87.0¢No · 买入 $65K · 87.0¢No · 买入 $16.88K · 86.0¢No · 买入 $73.52K · 86.0¢No · 买入 $33.6K · 85.0¢No · 买入 $25.99K · 85.0¢No · 买入 $36K · 84.0¢No · 买入 $16.8K · 84.0¢No · 买入 $21K · 84.0¢No · 买入 $12.62K · 83.0¢No · 买入 $10.73K · 81.0¢No · 卖出 $16.26K · 81.3¢No · 卖出 $11.07K · 82.0¢No · 买入 $24.9K · 83.0¢No · 买入 $27.06K · 82.0¢No · 卖出 $11.38K · 82.0¢No · 卖出 $16.4K · 82.0¢No · 卖出 $15.65K · 82.0¢No · 卖出 $13.11K · 83.0¢No · 卖出 $166.96K · 84.0¢No · 买入 $11.09K · 83.0¢No · 买入 $16.6K · 83.0¢No · 买入 $26.89K · 81.9¢No · 卖出 $36.6K · 81.2¢No · 买入 $46.16K · 82.0¢No · 买入 $28.66K · 81.0¢2026/10/282026/11/4
24 小时成交额
$777.01K
总成交额
$77.68M
结束日期
2027/1/1
结算规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.